- Deutsche Bank’s Chris Whitmore said that despite a weaker economy, recent checks with over 30 Apple retail stores found “continued strong Mac demand,” with iPod demand “tracking roughly in line with expectations.” Combined with favorable NAND pricing, he thinks the company will deliver “modest near-term earnings upside.” Demand for the iPhone “remains healthy,” with five of the stores he checked stocked out. (Those stores were in New York, New Jersey, California and Minnesota.) He sees a 3G phone this summer, and thinks the 10 million unit forecast for calendar 2008 is conservative.
- Friedman, Billings Ramsey’s Craig Berger says iPod build in the current quarter is “skewing more heavily to Shuffles.” Berger says March quarter iPhone build volumes “improved slightly versus prior checks, with June quarter volumes likely to “grow meaningfully” as the 3G iPhone ramps. He says Mac build volumes are improved versus previous checks. But he sees Mac production slowing in the June quarter following March quarter inventory replenishment. He says Apple has ordered over 11 million 3G iPhones, although he notes that Apple’s forecast to its suppliers is likely to be reduced over time.
- Piper Jaffray’s Apple uber-bull Gene Munster today repeated his view that Apple can sell 45 million iPhones in calendar 2009. He sees a 3G iPhone in 3-6 months; and “an entire family of iPhones,” with 2-3 models, by January 2009. That group should include phones priced in the $200-$300 range, he says. He also says the international roll-out of the iPhone will double the addressable market every year for the next two years. He sees a roll-out in Japan in calendar 2008, possibly along with Canada, Mexico, Italy and Australia - with China rolling out in mid-2009.
Apple on Monday rose 49 cents, to $143.50.






This article has 2 comments:
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Maniac in Motion
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22 Comments
Apr 01 04:41 AM-
TanToday
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92 Comments
Apr 01 11:43 AMStreet sells off .... NO BAD NEWS
Shares plummet ... NO BAD NEWS
Street relooks at fundamentals ... NO BAD NEWS
Street mildly optimistic ... NO BAD NEWS
Street reevaluating prospects, looking higher...NO BAD NEWS
So, let's see here, from $200 down to $118, on ZIPPO reality, now up to $148 with ZIPPO change, and now INCREASING OPTIMISM on what, no fundamental changes whatsoever?
You know, in my university education on ancient religion they had seers that would gut a bird, spread out the entrails and make predictions about the future from the patterns and twists of the intestines.
Watching these ANAL-ISTS mumble this or that, prognosticating on things that simply are NOT happening, did NOT happen, and then as REAL NUMBER TIME comes close, they all rush willy nilly in a herd to CLEANUP the crud that they have belched forth for months, KNOWING FULLY that the reality will show them to have been:
- Doofus's without the brains of the Scarecrow in the Wizard of Oz
- Morons who can't tear apart a companies sales and market share and penetration without some of them bringing mommy to work with them to wipe their noses and give them lunch.
- Windbags, that write to write, and are happy if they can sow false realities that scare equally unsophisticated folks into buying what should not be bought, or selling what should be retained.
NOW FOR THE REALITY:
1 - Apple was UP huge last quarter.
2 - Apple SALES OF HIGH END equipment is at an all time high and RISING.
3 - Apple retail stores outsell by 4 to1, the NEXT BEST retailler per sq ft/yr.
3 - EVERY product has been upgraded, and improved in the past few months.
4 - MOST products are in such high demand, that you must order and WAIT for them to deliver it to you.
5 - Market share by units and percentages is going exponential, with small base to begin from, the room upwards is HUGE.
6 - And finally, the iPhone is going to go ballistic when they bring out G3 soon, and get it out there in more than 6 countries, which is all they officially sell in now. Steve Jobs predicted 10 million units by the end of 2008, the sharpest analysts now are upping that to a potential 35 MILLION in 2009, now THAT is not the high end, even there, they have only 5% of the market, what happens when they get to 25% ?
Argh, oh well, the world is strange, and how do you KEEP a job where you are consistently wrong, completely uninformed, and only have to spew out some nonsense every week to earn $200k a year and have clean hands and don't sweat much?