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- Endowment Investing 2008, Yale-Style [view article]
- Defining a Set of Core Asset Classes [view article]
- Fixed Income: Little Value in Treasuries, Preferred Financials Yielding 8% [view article]
- Shifting Emphasis from Inflation to Growth [view article]
- Checking In on the All-ETF Portfolio [view article]
- Advantages to TIPS in the Current Market [view article]
- Runaway Inflation: Do TIPS Really Help? [view article]
- Bond Expert: Monday Wrap [view article]
- A Simple Momentum System for Beating the Market [view article]
- Stagflation and Peak Oil: How Related Are They? (Part II) [view article]
- REITs Pop While Commodities Flop [view article]
- A 360 View of Returns (July 2008) [view article]
loading ...Recent TIP Articles
- Tweaking the Global T-Bill Theory
- Shifting Emphasis from Inflation to Growth
- Advantages to TIPS in the Current Market
- Runaway Inflation: Do TIPS Really Help?
- Defining a Set of Core Asset Classes
- Bond Expert: Monday Wrap
- Fixed Income: Little Value in Treasuries, Preferred Financials Yielding 8%
- A Simple Momentum System for Beating the Market
- Checking In on the All-ETF Portfolio
- REITs Pop While Commodities Flop
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Endowment Investing 2008, Yale-Style [view article]
Thanks Mebane for your article. It's very good and to the point.Reply
Considine
Defining a Set of Core Asset Classes [view article]
I will try to cover a range of questions here. With regard to bonds vs. bond funds, this depends very much on your personal situation. In a hypothetical world, bond funds and bonds accomplish the same thing in a portfolio.With regards to infractructure, if you look at my All ETF model portfolio, you will see that I have utilities, transport, and materials as specific allocations--these are all infrastructure. These come up simply because they have such nice portfolio effects via QPP. I am awaiting a copy of Mr. El-Erian's book to see how he motivates these asset classes in depth.
With regard to the recent losses in commodities: the whole point of asset allocation is offsetting risks. Commodities have had a great run but they cannot out-perform forever. Also, risk and return go hand in hand--you cannot have the returns of commodities unless you take on the volatility. This brings us to the broader issue of whether timing makes sense, etc. I have written about this elsewhere: of course relative value is important--but history suggests that it is secondary to some other factors.
Geoff Reply
Defining a Set of Core Asset Classes [view article]
Thanks for the comment Xu tiu. In my IRA accounts, I can see it makes sense but not sure about the taxable accounts. Perhaps,still better for the equites and mutual funds. ReplyDefining a Set of Core Asset Classes [view article]
Dear 75 and retired. Being in bonds in a mutual fund is not the same as owning the bond itself where the risk is the return of capital and realization of the yield. At your age I would prefer to see you in bonds not funds which removes the interest rate/yield risk and assures your money is returned.On Aug 18 09:20 AM chick wrote:
> Hi Geoff,
>
> I have mostly managed mutual funds with managers I find are some
> of the best, Evillard, Leuthold, Romick, McGregor, Rudolph-Riad Younes,
> Royce, Cuggino. I don't own any bonds or bond funds except those
> in the funds I own. Can those bonds serve as my allocation to bonds?
> If I have 40-50% bonds from those mutual funds, can they be considered
> my bond allocation? I am 75 and only recently retired. Reply
Fixed Income: Little Value in Treasuries, Preferred Financials Yielding 8% [view article]
thoroughbred,Yes, it makes sense for now.
Also, nice article.
CrossProfit Reply
Shifting Emphasis from Inflation to Growth [view article]
Very good review also the week economic report is helpful! ReplyFixed Income: Little Value in Treasuries, Preferred Financials Yielding 8% [view article]
Dunn, I had both the GM pfd as well as the F pfd, I just have zero confidence in either, and beside that, those 2 have gotten many recommendations as a better place to hide if you want long term exposure to GM and F so I think there are many novice investors there, if it starts to drop I don't believe they will hold for the long term and would make the drop much worse than it would need to be. Does that make sense? ReplyDefining a Set of Core Asset Classes [view article]
Hi Geoff,I have mostly managed mutual funds with managers I find are some of the best, Evillard, Leuthold, Romick, McGregor, Rudolph-Riad Younes, Royce, Cuggino. I don't own any bonds or bond funds except those in the funds I own. Can those bonds serve as my allocation to bonds? If I have 40-50% bonds from those mutual funds, can they be considered my bond allocation? I am 75 and only recently retired. Reply
Shifting Emphasis from Inflation to Growth [view article]
in response to D.A.N - social security is NOT $12 trillion in debt - in fact the trust fund OWNS about $4 trillion of the Federal debt to provide for future benefits. YOur website reference (socialsecurity.org) is run by the CATO INSTITUTE, which is an extremist right wing organization that will never provide you with the real facts on topics like this. IF you don't believe my numbers, look them up in the Federal budget. YOu can find it by googling "US federal budget". ReplyDefining a Set of Core Asset Classes [view article]
I thought I was doing ok with a managed futures RYMFX fund but not now.finance.yahoo.com/q/ta...
It seems that commodities have disrupted any benefit, in the short term, at least. How can this be prevented? Reply
Defining a Set of Core Asset Classes [view article]
Hi Geoff,I great, helpful article. Thank you for it.
I have a question about core asset classes. I see that you have used the DJ Utilities index as a surrogate for what El-Erian terms as the infrastructure asset class allocation. What other etfs do you see as adequate surrogates? Would railroads or natural gas pipelines count? Should this infrastructure investment be international or domestic etc.
A second question: I notice that pimco has a bond fund that invests in emerging market debt denominated in local currencies. Would participation in this constitute a different asset class or would it be a subset of the bond portion of the portfolio?
Thank you,
null Reply
Shifting Emphasis from Inflation to Growth [view article]
JDL51: The Chinese and Russians have quite a bit of experience defaulting on foreign debt, and Japan is doing a better job than the U.S. in going further into it (debt). Your postulate is negated by something called “recent history.” ReplyShifting Emphasis from Inflation to Growth [view article]
Data, Data everywhere and not a drop of insight. It must be clear from a more fundamental perspective that the Fed will prefer economic stability over dollar strength simply because if the US does not export we will be in worse trouble than you can conceive of this next year. Jobs are going to decline as consumers fail to consume, earnings will fall, P/Es will decline, so inflation will be tame until the fiscal policy goes stimulus again, and it will. The Fed likely to go for 1.75 FF Rate by Q1 O9. It is not over and we have no long run policy beyond groping, blind man's bluff. so don't expect much. A new President is 12 months from getting control of policy. Could not have come at a worse time. ReplyShifting Emphasis from Inflation to Growth [view article]
My supposedly fiscally responsible die-hard republican cousin told me that our trillions of republican debt are no problem. We'll just default on it and stick the Chinese, Russians and Japanese with a bunch of worthless paper. Apparently there's no need to worry about the consequences. ReplyShifting Emphasis from Inflation to Growth [view article]
its ok as long as the beer (belgium) swillers arrive at the stadum to fill the seats & watch overpaid underperforming athletes.they have no idea they are part of a much larger game & are about to lose-big. Reply