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mail5022589@fishfuse.com's Comments Stream Stats
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- Wall Street Breakfast -Sample
Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know Newsby SA Editor Rachael Granby- Bank trio becomes duo. Wells Fargo (WFC) will become the largest U.S. bank by branches with its bid for Wachovia (WB), after Citigroup (C) withdrew from compromise negotiations late yesterday on concerns about the quality of some of Wachovia's assets. Wells Fargo, with a bid valued at $11.4B, expects the purchase to be completed by the end of the year, and denies it will have to absorb assets shakier than originally thought.
- Government considers next steps. As the financial crisis continues to worsen, the U.S. government is considering two dramatic steps to turn around, or at least slow, the damage: guaranteeing billions of dollars in bank debt and temporarily insuring all U.S. bank deposits. The moves, which would mark the government's most extensive intervention to date, are in discussion stages only.
- Credit stays frozen. As frozen credit markets refuse to thaw, the cost of default protection on corporate bonds reaches new global records amid investor concerns the credit crisis will trigger corporate failures as companies struggle to finance their businesses. Interbank lending remains limited, and borrowing from the Fed's expanded discount window continued its trend of setting new highs every week, as the total daily average rose to $420.2B vs. $367.8B last week.
- Oil demand withers. The International Energy Agency warned Friday worldwide oil demand...
- The Macro View -SampleSeeking Alpha - The Macro ViewMarket Outlook
- An Outcry from Emerging and Developed Markets Alike by Jonathan O'Shaughnessy
- Long Term, Financials Look Good by Michael Filloon
- Round 3 of the Recession: Main Street by Paul Fekula
Oil Price- Oil Below $75: Increased Chance of OPEC Production Cuts by Money Morning
- Oil Down 48% from Highs by Bespoke Investment Group
- Oil & Gas Headed Lower as Economy Strikes Consumers by Michael Filloon
Economy- Long Term, Financials Look Good by Michael Filloon
- Round 3 of the Recession: Main Street by Paul Fekula
- Reality Bites As Stocks Continue To Collapse by The Mole
- Investing Ideas -SampleSeeking Alpha - Investing IdeasCramer's Picks
- Farewell Financial Bear Raids - Cramer's Mad Money (10/14/08) by SA Editor Joan Wickham
- Better Picks - Cramer's Lightning Round (10/14/08) by SA Editor Joan Wickham
- Perhaps Industrials... Cramer's Stop Trading! (10/14/08) by SA Editor Joan Wickham
Long Ideas- Utilities Beginning to Generate Interest for Longs by Joe Kunkle
- The Long Case for Encore Capital by Value Investor Insight
- 2009: The Year of the Channel for SaaS Vendors? by Jeff Kaplan
- Two Global Infrastructure Investment Opportunities in ETFs by Investment U
- Market Behaves Sanely - Fast Money Recap (10/14/08) by SA Editor Joan Wickham
Short Ideas- Why Short Sellers Are the Heroes of Wall Street by Investment U
- Salesforce.com: Pricey and Coming Down Fast by Charlie Bottle
- Google: 3Q Results Reveal Chinks in the Armor by Mark Krieger
- Jim Cramer's Picks -SampleBetter Choices - Cramer's Lightning Round (10/15/08)by SA Editor Rachael GranbyStocks discussed in the lightning round session of Jim Cramers Mad Money TV program,
Wednesday, October 15.Bullish Calls:Continental Resources (CLR) -- "This is a remarkable decline. All of the high quality ones are down so much, I can't go against it. This is where you pull the trigger.
3M (MMM) -- The moment this stock starts yielding 5%, I'm a buyer. Until then, keep your powder dry.Bearish Calls:Computer Sciences (CSC) -- This is a company that was going to be bought, but they passed up the chance. Now I don't want to buy it."Email continues...
Annaly Mortgage (NLY) -- I think this is a business model that needs to borrow money. Definitively do not buy."
Northrop Grumman (NOC) -- You can't own the defense stocks right now. If I had to own one, I'd look at Lockheed Martin (LMT) with its good dividend. - Stocks & Sectors -SampleSeeking Alpha - Stocks & SectorsInternet
- eBay: Q3 Looks Good but Q4 Guidance Disappoints by Greg Feirman
- Is Google Feeling Lucky? by Sam Gustin
- Why Today Could Suck for Tech by Kevin Maney
Media- A Triple Financial Whammy Afflicts Newspapers by Ken Doctor
- Three Years On, Buying MySpace Looks Like One of Murdoch's Smartest Bets by Erick Schonfeld
- How Will Arbitron Fare in This Market? by Sreeni Meka
Telecom- Ten Ways to Invest in Louisiana by Stockerblog
- Earnings Preview: Electro-Optical Engineering by theflyonthewall.com
- Shared Docks Via WiFi All the Rage by Dean Bubley
Financial- Switzerland Strengthens Its Banks; Short Interest Remains Low by Jessica Johnson
- Reality Bites As Stocks Continue To Collapse by The Mole
- LIBOR Shows Worst Is Yet to Come for Credit Markets by Keith Fitz-Gerald
- Global Markets -SampleSeeking Alpha - Global MarketsChina
- An Outcry from Emerging and Developed Markets Alike by Jonathan O'Shaughnessy
- USANA Health Sciences Inc. Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript
- Perfect World Announces Share Repurchase Program by Trader Mark
- China: Hot Money Inflows Down, Nervousness Up by Michael Pettis
India- Indian Economy Has Much to Cheer About by Equitymaster
- India: RBI Cuts Cash Reserve Ratio by Equitymaster
- India: Markets Continue Downward by Equitymaster
Japan- Sanyo Enters Thin-Film Market, Goes Up Against Sharp by Greentech Media
Asia- Four International Dividend Stocks to Watch by David Hunkar
Eastern Europe- Reality Bites As Stocks Continue To Collapse by The Mole
- Alternative Energy Investing -SampleSeeking Alpha - Alternative EnergyAlternative Energy
- Seven Stocks for an Impending Apocalypse by H.J. Huneycutt
- Solar Shares Under Pressure From Credit Crunch and Pricing by Eric Savitz
- Trina Solar Looks Good, Though Market Yawns by Trader Mark
- The Electric Car Market: Wise Energy Use Stocks by Tom Konrad
- Investing in the Power of the Sea
- ETF Daily -SampleSeeking Alpha - ETF DailySector ETFs
- Too Early To Buy Homebuilders ETF by Larry MacDonald
- Utilities Beginning to Generate Interest for Longs by Joe Kunkle
- Two Global Infrastructure Investment Opportunities in ETFs by Investment U
New ETFs- First Trust Launches Infrastructure ETF with Global Reach by Index Universe
- Overview and Analysis of the Global Generic Drug Industry by Mike Havrilla
Emerging Market ETFs- Brazil Is the Best of BRIC by Carl T. Delfeld
- Playing the Market in Difficult Times by Jason Hamlin
- The Daily Dispatch -SampleSeeking Alpha - Daily DispatchWall Street Breakfast
- Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News by SA Editor Rachael Granby
US Market- An Outcry from Emerging and Developed Markets Alike by Jonathan O'Shaughnessy
- Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News by SA Editor Rachael Granby
Housing & Real Estate- Too Early To Buy Homebuilders ETF by Larry MacDonald
- Another 'Root Cause' That Isn't: Tumbling Home Prices by Tim Iacono
Transcripts- TrueBlue, Inc. Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript
- Polycom, Inc. Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript
ETF- Too Early To Buy Homebuilders ETF by Larry MacDonald
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From Subprime to Meltdown: Is Peak Oil Responsible?
So the current economic crisis is only partially caused by the Peak. It was exacerbated by stratification (known to previous generations as class war).
Good Riddance to 2008
Yes, I was saved.
The value of my stock portfolio increased by +14% during 2008. You know how I did it ? I am a new investor and starting buying stocks for the first time in November 2008. So far I appear to have perfectly timed the bottom :-)
New DivX Hook-Up with Matroska to Provide Enhanced Video Experience
Oh, and if you think that “Matroska dropped MKV'' makes ANY sense, than you seriously have no idea what you’re talking about. The Matroska Foundation’s sole real for being is to push the Matroska (= MKV!) format.
New DivX Hook-Up with Matroska to Provide Enhanced Video Experience
Oh, and if you think that “Matroska dropped MKV'' makes ANY sense, than you seriously have no idea what you’re talking about. The Matroska Foundation’s sole real for being is to push the Matroska (= MKV!) format.
Interview with Patrick Byrne, CEO of Overstock.com
Dividend Paying Stocks: You Only Have to Be Lucky Once
Conversely, I haven't looked at PG, but I bet if you looked at their fundamentals you would notice they were *not* overvalued to begin with, so it was logical for their market cap to keep increasing because it is growing.
I also don't think that investing is a matter of luck. At a conference in the 1990s, Warren Buffett refuted that argument by showing data that him and a group of friends following this strategy were able to consistently outperform the market, every year, for a period of 20+ years, with differences in their portfolios.
I should say that even though I have probably less experience than most people here, my first exposure to investment strategies has been value investing, and it strikes me as so obvious that this is the right way to invest that I wonder why not more people follow it.
Open Letter to Sirius XM: Take Us Listeners into Consideration
...to be clear, I have always enjoyed a little bit of DJ talk. I feel that DJs add to a show....
That is the only comment that I take exception to in your otherwise excellent article.
You are sending a mixed message to Mel K and Scott Greenstein and company.
We want them to silence the DJ's on music channels.
PERIOD>
What don't they understand about this?
I am beginning to think this is all a cleverly crafted plan to make way for commercials. Think about it.
If people are used to interruptions in between each song, how long before they start sneaking in a commercial here and there?
Will people even notice?
Sirius subscribers will become so immune to the HORRIBLE blather from these asshole DJ's providing mel the opportunity to quietly fire them and replace their interruptions with ads -- all in the name of making Sirius profitable.
Don't allow it.
Look, The New York Times just announced that IN AN EFFORT TO REDUCE OPERATING COSTS they fired all of the overnight DJ's on their WQXR owned radio station and replaced them with pre-recorded messages and non-stop classical music.
Why is MEL so stubborn?
Mel, FIRE ALL THE DJ's on the music channels. PLAY MUSIC. that is why I am subscribing. Not to hear FM style dj's. STOP THE MADNESS
"We've gotten hundreds of people who hated it and claimed they were going to cancel," Karmazin said at last week's Reuters Media Summit, as recounted in the Reuters MediaFile blog. "If we took the most aggressive number of people who cancelled, and we take that (away) the $120 a year (they pay) it doesn't get to a $1 million as compared to the significant amount of cost savings as a company that needs to make money."
NO reverse split! (With today's stock prices, NASDAQ should reconsider its delisting policy
he cancelations have amounted to less than 1 million dollars per year loss to the company
Open Letter to Sirius XM: Take Us Listeners into Consideration
IF you don't vote for a Reverse Split the stock will be delisted.
NOT TRUE
Between delisting extensions, appeals and the current lobbying effort (in the midst of this current depression/severe recession) to abolish the $1.00 delisting rule (provided the market cap is above a certain threshold) threat of delisting is not an immediate issue.
DON'T BUY INTO THAT THINLY VEILED THREAT!
VOTE NO ON Reverse Split.
Vote No on additional shares.
Vote yes or no on keeping Mel. I am on the fence. If he goes, who takes over?
Sirius will have you believe that if you own 10 shares at 14 cents each (meaning your equity is $1.40) then a Reverse Split of 1 for 10 will mean the new stock price will be $1.40 and you will have the same equity.
BULL SHIT
After a RS the stock will go up to $1.40 but the bondholders will immediately short it back down to 14 cents
Now where are you?
You will then own one share at 14 cents instead of 10 shares at $1.40
See my point?
The deadline for delisting is January 20th.
Sirius would by law have 180 days from that point to become compliant.
In addition Sirius could also appeal the notice at the end of the 180 day deadline.
Plus keep in mind that they may very well extend the extension deadline well beyond the Jan 20th deadline as there is an unprecedented amount of stocks on the NASDAQ below 1.00, which could easily put us into 2010 Providing plenty of time for management to perform their fiduciary duties and make a substantial effort to increase the share price and shareholder value.
Open Letter to Sirius XM: Take Us Listeners into Consideration
Bondholders own Sirius Xm, thanks to that eleventh hour financing deal that allowed Bondholders to instantly short Sirius shares to protect their investment.
So if you vote for a RS aren't you saying to Bondholders "go ahead, make my day, short the 50-1 new share price of $7.00 back down to 14 cents?"
The NAB is no longer a threat to Sirius.
The FCC is no longer a threat to Sirius.
The Bondholders are the only threat to the current share price and will surely dilute any higher price as a result of a RS>
Expiring Patents Ignite Biotech Boom
CNN's New Wire Will Shake Up the Newspaper Business
Case in point, the unfair practice at CNN of having their hundreds of Newsource affiliates pay top dollar to get access to CNN footage while CNN uses the reciprocal affiliate footage to program upwards of 50% of their on-air video and online content. They get it coming and going. How is it that the affiliates have not figured this out yet. If the affiliates were to band together and demand a fair reciprocal sharing pool, CNN would have no choice but to bend. Because there's no way their investing 10s of millions of dollars in getting this video footage themselves. Nothing drove me crazier as a local news person to know that WE had to PAY for the privilege of putting our content into a pool that CNN “organized” and benefited greatly from — both from a content source and a mid-8-figure revenue source for CNN Newsource.
Citigroup: The End Draws Near
- Conditional guarantee on $306B in assets, presumably designed to mostly cover their riskier derivative positions at a price of $7B in preferred stock paying a coupon of 8%. Given that C's two highest yielding preferreds already pay a coupon of 8.125% (CpP) and and 8.5% (CpM), this appears to be quite a deal for C in terms of added dividend liability.
- C's added liabilities at this point, to attain this much of a guarantee, comes out to around $329 million per year (8% * $7B).
- Someone correct me if I'm wrong here, but I believe that the CDS spread on C was in the ballpark of 470bps on Friday. Thus, purchasing that much of an unconditional guarantee on C's debt would've cost roughly $14.38B on the open market; being that this is a conditional guarantee, C needs to absorb $29B before coverage begins. Just between C's $24B loan loss reserve allocation and the $25B TARP to drawn on, it seems likely that C could reasonably absorb the full $29B without much trouble.
- Now, please, someone offer their insight with regards to the financing provision. Every which way I read it, it seems as if the government is extending a guarantee on the REST of ALL of C's assets, beyond the $308B troubled portfolios, in the form of a non-recourse loan @ OIS + 300bps with the same 90/10 loss sharing terms. Given that the overnight rate has been averaging in the ballpark of only 30-50bps this past month, this again seems
curious. If I'm not misinterpreting this, it would appear as if they're getting an extremely generous credit line that, maybe given its terms, the USG doesn't expect it to tap into.
- C keeps the income derived from their assets in the guaranteed portfolio, designating the risk weight to 20%. Since it's unknown how, in light of what's happened the past year, to what extent C has re-weighted the risk in those portfolios, and there's no better risk weighting than 20%, this should help free up much of C's capital tied down to those assets.
- Preferreds are agreed to be redeemable in either cash or stock, so this should have no negative impact on the share price beyond the added liability from the new preferred issuance. That liability seems to be explicitly covered in a prudent attempt to minimize backlash from the public, demand further cost reduction, by requiring an almost complete cut in its dividend which had been, @ $0.16/share, a quarterly expense of $872 million based on the 5.45B shares outstanding.
Very wisely, more stuff cooked in to placate an increasingly irritated
taxpaying public and demonstrate that this deal is not 'for free':
- C's obligation to reduce its divdend to $0.01. It will be seen on Monday how this affects C's commons. Considering that the rationalization for the steep plunge through the last trading sessions was primarily due to concerns of solvency with no expectation that the yield be maintained, I don't imagine this should negatively impact the share price too much. In terms of net impact, it should be negative clearly, but overall much of the price depression was a bet placed on the solvency question.
- An interesting throw-in was the 10-year warrant for $2.7B @ $10.61/share. A fairly transparent attempt to elevate C's share price, it will likely yield some positive impact to C's common, but probably by not much. But it does offer the very clear message that USG will not hesitate to profit heartily by offering its assistance.
- Place executive compensation under oversight by the USG. Nothing new from the TARP.
Overall, I think that the terms in this package appear to have been thought out a bit better and though the terms are less attractive than with the original TARP, its impact is comprehensive and far clearer. My guess is that this will likely remove any remaining doubt as to C's short and long-term solvency.
Apple vs. Microsoft Vista: The Ad Budget Wars
Microsoft is being treated unfairly if people are clamoring for them to fix a bad product, but they spend the money on advertising instead.
The only way a large advertising campaign is effective is if the message is backed up by reality.
Draw your own conclusions.
Why Yahoo Finance Is Wrong About Buffett
Fixed your own flawed story, and figure out who is really at fault. And to think Seeking Alpha publishes such poorly researched material!
How Good Are Online Financial Services at Marketing?