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- Wall Street Breakfast -Sample
Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know Newsby SA Editor Rachael Granby- Bank trio becomes duo. Wells Fargo (WFC) will become the largest U.S. bank by branches with its bid for Wachovia (WB), after Citigroup (C) withdrew from compromise negotiations late yesterday on concerns about the quality of some of Wachovia's assets. Wells Fargo, with a bid valued at $11.4B, expects the purchase to be completed by the end of the year, and denies it will have to absorb assets shakier than originally thought.
- Government considers next steps. As the financial crisis continues to worsen, the U.S. government is considering two dramatic steps to turn around, or at least slow, the damage: guaranteeing billions of dollars in bank debt and temporarily insuring all U.S. bank deposits. The moves, which would mark the government's most extensive intervention to date, are in discussion stages only.
- Credit stays frozen. As frozen credit markets refuse to thaw, the cost of default protection on corporate bonds reaches new global records amid investor concerns the credit crisis will trigger corporate failures as companies struggle to finance their businesses. Interbank lending remains limited, and borrowing from the Fed's expanded discount window continued its trend of setting new highs every week, as the total daily average rose to $420.2B vs. $367.8B last week.
- Oil demand withers. The International Energy Agency warned Friday worldwide oil demand...
- The Macro View -SampleSeeking Alpha - The Macro ViewMarket Outlook
- An Outcry from Emerging and Developed Markets Alike by Jonathan O'Shaughnessy
- Long Term, Financials Look Good by Michael Filloon
- Round 3 of the Recession: Main Street by Paul Fekula
Oil Price- Oil Below $75: Increased Chance of OPEC Production Cuts by Money Morning
- Oil Down 48% from Highs by Bespoke Investment Group
- Oil & Gas Headed Lower as Economy Strikes Consumers by Michael Filloon
Economy- Long Term, Financials Look Good by Michael Filloon
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- Jim Cramer's Picks -SampleBetter Choices - Cramer's Lightning Round (10/15/08)by SA Editor Rachael GranbyStocks discussed in the lightning round session of Jim Cramers Mad Money TV program,
Wednesday, October 15.Bullish Calls:Continental Resources (CLR) -- "This is a remarkable decline. All of the high quality ones are down so much, I can't go against it. This is where you pull the trigger.
3M (MMM) -- The moment this stock starts yielding 5%, I'm a buyer. Until then, keep your powder dry.Bearish Calls:Computer Sciences (CSC) -- This is a company that was going to be bought, but they passed up the chance. Now I don't want to buy it."Email continues...
Annaly Mortgage (NLY) -- I think this is a business model that needs to borrow money. Definitively do not buy."
Northrop Grumman (NOC) -- You can't own the defense stocks right now. If I had to own one, I'd look at Lockheed Martin (LMT) with its good dividend. - Stocks & Sectors -SampleSeeking Alpha - Stocks & SectorsInternet
- eBay: Q3 Looks Good but Q4 Guidance Disappoints by Greg Feirman
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- Three Years On, Buying MySpace Looks Like One of Murdoch's Smartest Bets by Erick Schonfeld
- How Will Arbitron Fare in This Market? by Sreeni Meka
Telecom- Ten Ways to Invest in Louisiana by Stockerblog
- Earnings Preview: Electro-Optical Engineering by theflyonthewall.com
- Shared Docks Via WiFi All the Rage by Dean Bubley
Financial- Switzerland Strengthens Its Banks; Short Interest Remains Low by Jessica Johnson
- Reality Bites As Stocks Continue To Collapse by The Mole
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- An Outcry from Emerging and Developed Markets Alike by Jonathan O'Shaughnessy
- USANA Health Sciences Inc. Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript
- Perfect World Announces Share Repurchase Program by Trader Mark
- China: Hot Money Inflows Down, Nervousness Up by Michael Pettis
India- Indian Economy Has Much to Cheer About by Equitymaster
- India: RBI Cuts Cash Reserve Ratio by Equitymaster
- India: Markets Continue Downward by Equitymaster
Japan- Sanyo Enters Thin-Film Market, Goes Up Against Sharp by Greentech Media
Asia- Four International Dividend Stocks to Watch by David Hunkar
Eastern Europe- Reality Bites As Stocks Continue To Collapse by The Mole
- Alternative Energy Investing -SampleSeeking Alpha - Alternative EnergyAlternative Energy
- Seven Stocks for an Impending Apocalypse by H.J. Huneycutt
- Solar Shares Under Pressure From Credit Crunch and Pricing by Eric Savitz
- Trina Solar Looks Good, Though Market Yawns by Trader Mark
- The Electric Car Market: Wise Energy Use Stocks by Tom Konrad
- Investing in the Power of the Sea
- ETF Daily -SampleSeeking Alpha - ETF DailySector ETFs
- Too Early To Buy Homebuilders ETF by Larry MacDonald
- Utilities Beginning to Generate Interest for Longs by Joe Kunkle
- Two Global Infrastructure Investment Opportunities in ETFs by Investment U
New ETFs- First Trust Launches Infrastructure ETF with Global Reach by Index Universe
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Emerging Market ETFs- Brazil Is the Best of BRIC by Carl T. Delfeld
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US Market- An Outcry from Emerging and Developed Markets Alike by Jonathan O'Shaughnessy
- Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News by SA Editor Rachael Granby
Housing & Real Estate- Too Early To Buy Homebuilders ETF by Larry MacDonald
- Another 'Root Cause' That Isn't: Tumbling Home Prices by Tim Iacono
Transcripts- TrueBlue, Inc. Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript
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ETF- Too Early To Buy Homebuilders ETF by Larry MacDonald
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The Easiest Hardest Mortgage Question Ever
On Jan 08 02:17 AM RatWatcher wrote:
> Unlike credit cards, additional payments on a mortgage do not reduce
> the required 'minimum' payment, which is fixed. Instead, the loan
> matures ahead of schedule. Interest is charged only on the outstanding
> principal balance...so, each payment after a one-time buydown has
> a little less interest, and a little more applied to principal. Done
> regularly (say, $100/mo additional principal) can significantly shorten
> a loan and the total cost thereof.
Dick Kovacevich on Banks and This Financial Crisis
The Problem with Option ARMs
- - attempted to shield themselves from criticism and cloak themselves in altruism by throwing a few - "million" - over to the Center for Responsible Lending.
The Problem with Option ARMs
Here is a direct quote by Herb Sandler: “You have to understand how independent brokers work, they are the whores of the world.”
Despite that distaste, World Savings made extensive use of brokers. By 2006, they were generating some 60 percent of its loan business, he acknowledged. He said he was compelled to do so because of brokers were a dominant force in the mortgage industry. Money trumped ethics once again for the Sandlers.
I lost some business to these hucksters and snake-oil-salesman that were pushing this product, and at one-time the upper managers of our company went to the senior managers and requested that we be allowed to originate these loans, if even for the purpose of showing just how bad they were. When we were competing against this product and tried to tell buyers, Realtors, and builders how unethical the product was, they usually said we were just “bad mouthing” it because we couldn’t do them”. Our senior managers said NO, we would never do the Option ARM. The product was not good for our customers and was not good for our company and stakeholders. We didn’t like that answer, but it sure turned-out to be right. When the miscreant huckster team of Herbert and Marion Sandler sold out to Wachovia, one of their big selling points was the huge income they were making on these Option ARMS. When they became part of the Wachovia board of directors, they continued to press the origination of these loans and even convinced Wachovia to have it available to their bank branch originators. The bank branch originators hated the product and sold almost none of it.
Going back to your statement “They clearly cared more about underwriting than most mortgage lenders, and they didn't found the Center for Responsible Lending as some kind of PR stunt”; you are seriously mistaken, they could not have cared less about their slimy, pathetic underwriting standards and absolutely, positively attempted to shield themselves from criticism and cloak themselves in altruism by throwing a few milling over to the Center for Responsible Lending. It was very cleaver on their part, not unlike the support and financial contribution made by Bernard Madoff, the huckster extraordinaire, master of the Ponzi scheme, that were made to legitimate organizations. The Option ARM product was a giant Ponzi scheme dependant on a house going up in value to refinance and pay-off the unpaid negative amortization on the Option ARM.
Madoff and Herbert and Marion Sandler, three peas in a pod.
Fear and Loathing in 2009
Overall, good analogy of the upcoming market.
I have to agree with the below comment. Wells Fargo originated and purchased through wholesale, broker-in, and correspondent, ZERO Option Arm loans; NONE. They wouldn't do them. The senior managers did not think the loans were good for its customers or good for WFC.
True, they inherited a bunch with their Wachovia acquisition, but WFC already provided for $38 billion in Wachovia losses (after Wachovia ALREADY wrote-down billions on these loans). A $38 billion loss on $182 billion of mortgages "says" that 21% of these loans have NO value whatsoever, or 41% only have 50 cents on the dollar remaining. Even with the worse case forclosure on these types of loans, recapturing 50 cents on the dollar is a slam dunk. WFC will not come out unscathed, but they will be a strong survivor. The have the best senior management and a conservative lending mentality. Their loans are the highest performing in the industry. I panicked back in July and sold a bunch of their stock at $20.75 and have regretted it ever since. I wouldn't sell them short again.
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On Dec 24 09:41 PM E Nuff Sed wrote:
> Wells-Fargo has already provided for 39 Billion losses on the 182
> Billion mortgage book it has taken from Wachovia.
>
> Looks like you are assuming losses will be a lot worse than that.
How Will We Finance the MBS Fix?
The government’s proposal to buy up MBS has substantial unresolved issues. There is plenty of excessive work in servicing toxic loans versus well performing loans. The government is ill equipped to perform this task and customarily boggles these type of tasks. A small number of major banks and mortgage servicing companies are qualified and equipped to service the MBS purchased by the Feds such as Chase (JPM), Bank of America (BAC), and Wells Fargo (WFC). There may be a buying opportunity with one or more of these companies.
Anthony, your picture, or mug shot looks like is was taken in the exercise yard of Attica Correctional Facility. The fact that you worked in marketing, originating, processing, closing, secondary markets, and even foreclosures does NOT make you a “subject matter expert”. A blind, one-armed monkey could and probably does do those small tasks on a daily basis.
SHEESH!
Here Comes a Consumer Killer
Three Financial Stocks Worth Holding
Kovacevich's Delayed Retirement: Bove's Criticism is Totally Off Base
A Dual Strategy to Balance Banking Sector Trade
**********************...
I would disagree with the above statement. Wells Fargo & Co has a great record for their merger and integration of other banks and financial institutions. When Norwest Bank merged with Wells Fargo, Norwest was the survivor. That merger is considered the best and smoothest major bank merger in history, masterminded by Dick Kovacevich who was CEO of Norwest at the time. He is still onboard and this merger is his baby. I DON’T disagree that with the acquisition of Wachovia, Wells Fargo took on a bunch of stinky loans originated by Great Western; now they are going to have to do something about them. However, I think they have planned a $71 billion write down on these loans. No bank is immune from meltdown in this volatile market, but Wells Fargo is up 12% from this day last year, while at the same time, the Dow is down 27%.
Increased Government Investment in Banks?
Nov 04 08:47 AM
If TARP states the money can not be used for acquisitions and can only be used for lending as Barney Frank stated Friday, I don't see how there will be regulatory approval on the PNC -Nat City deal. That's probably why you haven't heard of any other deals. National City can stand alone and save thousands of jobs. TARP was passed to help National City. Blah, blah, blah. . .
Call Latourette, Barney Frank, Sen Shumer and your local house and senate representatives and demand National Citys share of TARP. Blah, blah, blah. . .
**********************...
YEA, Barney Frank, there’s a pillar of credibility and knowledge. I think he is one of the miscreants that got us into this mess. Yea, call Barney, call bleeding-heart Shumer, see what those two nincompoops can do for you.
Sorry about the National City stocks you bought on the “recommendation” of 10 or so nitwits.
The Trouble with Rescues and Stimulus
It took the rest of the CEO in attendance, especially Ken Lewis, to convince him to “go along” with the plan “for the good of others”. He was told that if he decided to “op-out” he would look like he was “un American”. He and the others were told by Bernanke that “they had little to say about it”, if they didn’t take the money and sign the agreement THAT DAY, they would suffer the consequences (in so many words). Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson basically told the bank CEOs that they had to accept the government stock purchases for the good of the U.S. economy.
@VIC: Bill Ackman on Wachovia
Time to Hoard Cash - Cramer's Mad Money (10/6/08)
Worrying About Large-Deposit Bank Runs