prescient11

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  • As Bank Industry Analysts Lose Jobs, Serious Blogs Take the Forefront
    Thanks Reggie, I will. I think you've got another paid subscriber! You finally got me. Maybe you can tell me how stupid I am for being an ETFC long in this environment. argh.
    Dec 05 23:52 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • As Bank Industry Analysts Lose Jobs, Serious Blogs Take the Forefront
    Reggie, I thought you were done wth Seeking Alpa man? Your subscriber part of your blog is kind of whack, I keep trying to log in to no avail. My email is prescient11@yahoo.com if you can help.

    For those who don't know Reggie he's the best around, GGP is his crown jewel. He also called HIG and the other insurers and the downfall of the IBs. His analysis is the best. I shouldn't have closed my short on GGP in the $20s, and you shouldn't have closed it in the teens,wow!

    Congrats on all the success man, you've earned it.
    Nov 27 11:47 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Are Consumers Satisfied With Online Banking?
    I bank with Etrade and it's great. And they give you a 3.3% savings rate. Awesome.
    Nov 16 20:45 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Citi's Desperate Straits
    Felix, once again your analysis proves to be top notch.

    Of course, I hope the sarcasm comes through clear enough as there is no analysis in this piece. Why do you write such tripe?
    Nov 13 09:43 am |Rating: 0 -2 |Link to Comment |View article
  • The Trouble with Rescues and Stimulus
    I echo "I should know"'s comments completely. WFC didn't want the money. Should their shareholders suffer? The author should perhaps do her research.
    Nov 02 21:11 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Bigger is Not Better in Banking
    Chris, this analysis does fail to appreciate the $300B housing bailout that was passed. What is the consideration of that? Always liked your work.
    Oct 25 15:42 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Bear Market: Hunting For Value
    Great article. If I wasn't underwater in Etrade, I would put $50k on this stock right now. Ridiculously good buy.
    Oct 16 23:14 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • An Ameritrade-E*Trade Merger? Not as Crazy as It Sounds
    Why hasn't the author addressed the fact that the TARP plan means the losses are a wash for any potential acquirer.

    I mean, would you rather pay taxes or use that money to acquire a competitor and offset losses.

    How can any fool think that $4-5 would be reasonable. Aside from all the conspiracy theorists that post here and elsewhere, ANSWER THAT QUESTION OR JUST SHUT UP.

    If I can hear one reasonable answer to that point, then they would have a point. If not, they are just liars.

    The TARP program gives a potential acquirer a loss-free (due to tax credits), debt-free (Etrade has free cash to pay down all debts just about) brokerage.

    So, what is a debt-free, loss-free, perfectly healthy Etrade worth? $4-5/share. I think not.
    Oct 14 23:30 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • The Weakness of the Treasury's New Bailout Plan
    Felix, the resident genius with "concerns". Really, man, why don't you just own up to it. No plan would be perfect. And they're taking preferred shares so they do not dilute the common. While it's not as much oversight as one would like, what do you expect them to do, FORCE healthy banks to accept this capitalization and then FORCE them to accept new board members, someone probably as dense and bureaucratic as yourself.

    Listen, despite your constant cabal-like effort to communicate "concerns" about everything, this is the government giving you a big middle finger, saying, listen skippy, we, the Euros, everyone is backing our banks and that's it. So move along Felix, just move along man. You've been out of your league for some time.

    The financial system will not fall, it appears, based on these broad guarantees, and I think the governments of the first-world nations should be applauded for their efforts in this regard. Let's just hope the lesson has been learned and once the bleeding is stopped they fix the disease.
    Oct 14 00:03 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • An Ameritrade-E*Trade Merger? Not as Crazy as It Sounds
    One other point, due to the TARP program, an acquiring company would be able to pull Etrade's losses out and use them as a tax credit for the next couple of years. Thus, Etrade's expected future mortgage losses ARE A WASH because the acquirer would just be paying that in taxes anyway.

    So they can acquire Etrade without worrying about mortgage losses. Further, Etrade has enough cash on hand at the bank $1.8B and at the parent $700M to pay off almost ALL OF THEIR DEBT.

    So do the analysis, what is a debt free, no loss Etrade worth? It's got to be near $15 at a minimum. If AMTD could pull it off near $10 it would be a tremendous steal.

    Then they might have a platform that runs without crashing all the damn time.
    Oct 13 10:25 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • An Ameritrade-E*Trade Merger? Not as Crazy as It Sounds
    AMTD had better raise their offer if they expect to seriously be able to buy ETFC. ETFC has $1.4B in free cash on hand. A $4 offer would represent $2B roughly and would be a joke.

    No, about $8-10 might do it, but $4-5 would not get it done. You are aware that Etrade's CEO, Donald Layton, spent $1M of his own money to buy Etrade shares at $4.07.

    The merger makes sense, but at $4-5 it makes no sense.
    Oct 13 10:08 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • The Last Days of Morgan Stanley
    Delete my comment why don't you, you piece of garbage.
    Oct 09 22:18 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • GGP Suspends Dividend in Attempt to Address Liquidity Concerns
    Way to go Reggie Middleton. Great call.
    Oct 06 12:27 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Hank Paulson: Smartest Man in the Room
    Do only doom and gloom freaks post here. I will say that I think Paulson has an idea of what this is. Do you morons really think that he and his lieutenants, who have been working for 24 hours straight for months, do not understand the problems.

    Yes, all you are geniuses and Paulson knows nothing. The author may be a little too much in favor of Hank, but it's clear that Paulson has some plan. A lot better than what I've heard from the uber-bears. Most of which I see post again and again on these articles with nothing ever to say.
    Oct 01 23:50 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Did the FDIC Sabotage WaMu's Management and Erode Investor Confidence?
    yes, FDIC limits need to be raised, at least $500k.
    Sep 28 16:17 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article

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