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    • Fri Oct 24th 09:50 AM
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      Greenspan, Cox: Not Too Big to Flail
      Tie some money groups like Peter Peterson and David Walker with groups like Newt.org that know the political system. Educate the public which requires money for a call to action. Use technology and the Internet to demonstrate all the corrupt in Washington. Use technology to create a database and profile every American who wishes to change Washington through voter revolution into particular camps of activism. Have this super collective create economic research and create actionable plans to submit to Washington and hold them accountable to execute them. Oh wait, I already built that model, it's called Raging Debate. ragingdebate.com/about
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    • Fri Oct 24th 09:28 AM
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      Another Bloodbath?
      They saw it coming and those with half a brain cashed in there holdings. The rest was hiding the truth in the balance sheets hoping government would be competent to stimulate enough growth to avoid a catastrophe.
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    • Fri Oct 24th 09:25 AM
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      Another Bloodbath?
      I agree with Carl Spackler. Your group is nuts and have consistently given bad advice for the last year. We'll likely see a big dead cat bounce next year. The market has thrown the baby out with bath water in every sector and some sectors are drastically oversold. And you'll get a temporary psychological lift from a new Administration with the 'Obama' socialist euphoria (not that McCain could have solved this either, I am a Ron Paul fan).

      But the 'real' economy made up of the middle class, the majority being small business which creates the most jobs has been destroyed. Every other person I know is behind on bills, has low credit ratings and are petrified there next on the layoff block. And the true issue is that only half the overcapacity created from excess leverage has come off (as I anticipated would happen). The other half (total of 20+% from 2000) will be coming off over the next three years. The next formation of a bull market will be 2013 and that is if Washington can create jobs through upward mobility infrastructure programs.

      I do believe you'll see private equity begin looking at early stage or start ups next year to begin to create innovation and jobs. That in and of itself will restore the economy at some point. If Washington if it is smart will incentivize this process. Washington should stop resisting the fact that Efficient Market has failed and consumers are already heading back to Save and Invest mode.
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    • Thu Oct 23rd 16:54 PM
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      Political Theater: The Congressional Credit Hearings
      Mr. Kedrosky, I am glad you posted this and the mention of Alan Greenspan. It was his statement in May 2007 that spurred my economic study at the time of the US economy which helped warn many people. Few listened but I do remember the 16 hour days that summer preparing while all my colleagues went on vactation and called me a moron to boot.

      He stated that the chance of recession because of the housing market was 25%. I stated here in July after completing the study that chance of recession was 100% in 2008, that chance of Depression was 50%. I could give a damn about being vindicated or self-edification, I care about my shareholders, employees, family and friends. That is what is lacking in this nation, morals!

      And if we are to change Washington, then it should be our collective objective to accelerate the voter revolution process of removing the corrupt in the House of Reprsentatives. This process occured three other times in our nations history, 1877, 1911 and 1933. The American public 'gets it' about four year after the beginning of the crisis. But who says we as a collective group can't get this done sooner? Like in 2010?

      Of course it is incredulous that this man could make this recent statement on the Hill that he felt we have never had a significant decline in housing values. I prefer my grandmothers statement. She lived through the Great Depression: "Never trust bankers, they love foreclosures!" I guess Alan never heard that one before.
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    • Thu Oct 23rd 16:40 PM
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      The Sting of American Capitalism
      More like some people are Fascist and don't care Moonbat.
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    • Thu Oct 23rd 15:12 PM
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      Hank Paulson, Revisionist
      Great site and contacts you have Mr. Rockwell. I sent you a private email. Let's talks soon.

      Regards,

      Jason
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    • Wed Oct 22nd 17:02 PM
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      Nothing Good Will Come of Bankers Being in Control
      Correct Smarty Pants. And the responsible taxpayers which are the MAJORITY in this nation will foot the bill for the irresponsible, including the banks and those consumers whom should have heard the phrase 'if it looks too good to be true then it probably isn't'. And as I have said Jason C and will repeat, this government pushed the philosophy of leverage, encouraging consumers publically to keep on spending. Washington was advised differently (and loudly I might add), but corruption runs deep and thats a seperate matter.

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    • Wed Oct 22nd 16:44 PM
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      First Comes Deflation, Then Comes Inflation
      Bingo article. 3 & 4 is likely to occur based on what you can simply refer to as a net out as flawed 'human nature'. Socialism used as an attempt to fix socialism. Both comments seem accurate as well, although I would take an educated guess Captain Thomas that ME hostilities would be 3-4 years off. I can explain why I feel this way and geopolitical implications/scenerios if you wish to ping me in a reply here or email me at founders @ ragingdebate.com
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    • Tue Oct 21st 14:55 PM
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      Commented on:
      Will Low Satisfaction Rate Affect U.S. Election?
      America has been here before with the exact same causes and very similar effects. The system does work to remove those corrupt in power and it is the public that gathers it's own research into this area. Nothing like nudging the process along however: ragingdebate.com/about
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    • Fri Oct 17th 16:09 PM
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      The Problems of a Non-Independent Fed
      Debt collection from the public at large by the US government, specifically through the IRS will occur as early as next year. You have heard that a billion was requested by the IRS from the DoD was approved, right? The government must very soon choose between it's own citizens and foreign debt holders. So far, it looks like the citizenship will be having it's own Boston Tea Party in the not-so-distant future. What a shame.
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    • Fri Oct 17th 15:56 PM
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      Oil Heading for $150 a Barrel, Gold for $1500 an Ounce - Merrill
      If the 'Decider' is GW Bush, you have assigned this man too much credit. Our market economics leading to this final descent into massive restructuring as a nation began long ago.

      You have your opinion on the outbreak of global hostilities breaking out, I have mine. There is potential for conflict in the Baltic region this December. But this would also be regional conflict, think of weapons and capabilities testing between two big nations rather then an all out affair. I'll write you in February 2009.

      And if you ever were American, you certainly are not one now. Nor will I ever renounce my nation over failed leadership. Instead, I will imperil myself attempting to change it for love of my fellow countrymen, freedom is worth dying for (I am from the Live Free or Die state).

      Your comments as a foreign national are simply bitter. I prefer we never use our arsenal to destroy, but unfortunately history rythmes and global fiscal crisis caused by those in power over money supplies create such events. But my outcome which is positive in the long haul seems vastly different from yours. You discount the entire population, including 60 M gun owners who are the final 'Decider' of our nation. I guess we will have to agree to disagree.
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    • Fri Oct 17th 15:29 PM
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      The U.S. Economy Is Still on Life Support
      The article is accurate about producing more in the USA period. You are also pinpoint accurate Whidbey (as per norm) on this being a symbiotic relationship. The Efficient Market has failed, back to Save and Invest economy and of course this is going to be very painful. The US government has one of two choices, both with consequences:

      1) Support the US citizenship and offer large amounts of cash to invest alonside private equity into long-term investment opportunities (no more quasi-government crap thanks). Energy, telecommunications, Internet, roads are all ways to increase upward mobility which creates jobs for the citizenship to slowly but surely pay off debts. Of course, the foreign debt holders would not be happy as we forcefully tell them we will be restructuring our debts and yes would liquidate treasury. There will be geopolitical consequences. My strong opinion is that foreign debt holders will wind up doing this anyways at a point in time, but will bleed us for awhile as our consumption drops.

      2) Force US taxpayers to continue footing the entire global tab of paying off foreign debt holders through taxation either inflation, directly or both. In this scenerio the middle class is finished off and civil unrest or perhaps even outright revolution would occur.

      So if it were up to me, I would crank up the GDP in the direction of upward mobility especially on energy, spend some real time in conducting economic research in forecasting the effect of such investment which does not appear at this point to have been done.

      Washington has finally been shocked out of the denial stage just recently. I would sit down with the largest sovereign debt holders and state clearly what our intentions are and restructure that debt sooner rather then later, then bolster US intelligence on the ground and on our borders to prepare for geopolitical consequences. But so far, is point #2 occuring. I suppose we all will know in short order, probably by the end of Q1 2009 when policy course has been set for the short and medium term.
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    • Fri Oct 17th 14:07 PM
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      Oil Heading for $150 a Barrel, Gold for $1500 an Ounce - Merrill
      Oil at $150 will occur again, but I do not believe it will be a parabolic rise like we saw this last spring. Timing as a best-guess, it will begin to rise in Q2 and continue a steady march north to reach this price point and possibly a little beyond by 2011. I also believe we will see military misadventure in 2011 and 2012 shooting oil up to the moon which will crash our just-stabalizing economy.

      To Bosunj: My numbers show a 1/3 global casualties in the next World War. The Middle East conflict is a side show with Israel/Iran being a strategic roadbump for larger global conflict, ignited by a North/South Korea conflict and spreading wider, perhaps 2014 or 2015, dont know. But what I do know is this will be the final World War, as mankind is on a societal evolutionary path toward true globalization. This is an end of a era or what I call 'the end of ages' meaning that in the next 100 years man will become immortal through technology, first in body then later on the ability to exist as energy. And if you think America is going to 'lose' or 'we all die' you have another thing coming. There are weapons in the US arsenal the public is not aware exist. The Russians have a new gas/particle weapon for example that will be deadly but we have much more interesting things. I hope for your sake your local dicator in your 3rd world country finds you useful. For me, red white and blue baby!
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    • Sat Oct 11th 09:27 AM
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      It's Too Late for Tax Cuts, Now's the Time To Increase Government Spending
      I am with you Smarty but the final leg and fall of this big socialist experiment which leads to large wars will occur first.

      Liberty is first, Equality is second in how the Framer's founded this nation. Equality said all people should own homes. What tripe and created market manipulations. Liberty tells us this failed experiment that is affecting 300 M people will be harshly punished from those in Congress to Wall Street. It will occur it just takes time to regain our senses.

      Pain is the catalyst, unfortunately. We'll get back to Liberty as principle number one again, but first enjoy your pain of the Equality experiment. That is why I could never be a Democrat although the concepts of Equality are important, they are just second. Of course, nowadays being Republican is no better. Replikrats, Demopubs. One and the same group all pushed global Equality at any price over Liberty spouting 'how it's all for the good of the people' while raiding the global citizens bank accounts.
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    • Sat Oct 11th 09:08 AM
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      Where We Go from Here: Best and Worst Cases
      Solutions:

      1) Those here need to teach Washington economics specifically Congress how to do there job.
      2) Since those in Washington will resist some of this effort and are selfish, constituent pressure from the 100 M citizens that acted responsibly and now are understandably upset about having to foot the bill must be harnassed and collected. Stop ignoring the innovators gentlemen, the next crop of leadership trying to step up and show you how to do this. Tell your secretaries to accept some calls and line up meetings. Some of you that have the money to fund the technology to connect the masses are to be commened in this regard. But your secretaries thinking they are doing you a service in saving you time are doing you a disservice which leads to point 3.
      3) Build profiling/database technology to connect and harnass the might of the collective and individual conservative groups. This has to be a movement. There must be automation determining those whom can help and in what way out of that 100 M number of responsible citizenship.
      4) After profiling the many independent groups and the one super group of activists, messaging must be created as to what we want the super group to do in bearing constituent pressure over the next three or so years and highlighting whom the corrupt are in the House of Representatives are that should go in the next voter revolution (voter revolution with 1/3 of the House of Reps occured in 1877 in reference to Mr. Hui's mention of 1873 fiscal crisis it also occured in 1911 and 1933, see the trend?). That takes courage to step up and declare yourself an enemy of corruption.
      5) I am asked repeatedly by independent groups what to do. I show them this simple plan: ragingdebate.com/about . Many of us have here have serious investments or run businesses, myself included (Consumer Healthcare sector, working on discount drug program) so it takes an attitude that devoting oneself to such efforts is the new philanthropy of our age.

      Best of success gentlemen. I hope some of these solutions I mentioned make sense. My business and economic mentors are in Boston, I live nearby in Maine. I thank you mentors for your stewardship. If not for those whom cared more then just for themselves, I would not be fighting for our country and citizens. America will come roaring back to life, but the leadership in Washington issue must be properly addressed.
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