lblaine

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    • Mon Sep 29th 08:13 AM
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      Credit Cruuuunch
      After the Olympic orgy, China is re-thinking its direction. They will focus on internal development. They will purchase energy, metals and other assets, at the source, that assure them a stable supply. They do not need the US and Europe.
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    • Sun Sep 28th 10:10 AM
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      Is This a Money Making Bailout?
      Gross is talking his own book, as usual. He wants to sell to the government at 65 cents to the dollar; then he buys it back cheaper.
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    • Sun Sep 28th 08:58 AM
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      9 Reasons Why We Are Close to, If Not Past, the Bottom
      Yes, we are close to a short-term bottom, like 1000 DOW points away!
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    • Sat Aug 30th 10:11 AM
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      Looming Wave of Option Repricing?
      Slaughtered shareholders are stupid enough to approve options repricing?
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    • Sat Aug 30th 09:56 AM
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      Chart of the Day: Palin on InTrade
      Unless you have inside information, the action was all just gambling.
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    • Sat Aug 30th 09:46 AM
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      Real Disposable Income Up in Q2
      Unemployment is increasing, including Wall Street. GS paid $30 billion in compensation in 2007, but less than $1 billion to shareholders as dividends. It is preferable to work on wall street, not invest in Wall Street. This disposable income has been distorted by the massive speculation on Wall Street, and payout of obscene bonuses, at the expense of shareholders. The day of reckoning is coming.
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    • Sat Aug 30th 09:37 AM
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      False Data Clobbers the Markets
      Good luck with your short of USO. Hope it isn't on margin.
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    • Sat Aug 16th 13:43 PM
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      Inflation or Deflation?
      We are in a deflationary spiral. The clearing out of the over-leveraged assets (houses, certain businesses, SIVs, etc.) requires a downward re-pricing of everything. Many more people will be bankrupt, as unemployment increases and home prices continue to fall. Businesses will not be able to make their bond payments and will re-negotiate with lenders or go under. Banks and hedge funds holdings highly leveraged CDOs will fail. If the government stops interfering, this washout could occur in a reasonable time frame.

      Gold will hold its purchasing power, but not necessarily its price.

      Oil and its derivatives will always be costly, because of dwindling supplies and manipulation of OPEC. Other supply-constrained resources, such as agricultural products and potable water, will continue to be costly.





      View article »
    • Sat Aug 16th 12:46 PM
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      We're Only Halfway Through the Credit Crisis
      Okay, lets say your $1 trillion is correct and "Markets will fall lower ... and investors should start contemplating the bottom, which ... will occur next year." Next year is eternity in this market, and it looks like shorts are in order.
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    • Sat Aug 16th 12:01 PM
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      Predicting the Bottom in Gold
      Gold is insurance, holds its buying power (but no necessarily price) and provides diversification.

      The US mint has stopped minting gold coins. You can buy "paper" gold at $800/oz, but not physical gold!
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    • Sat Aug 16th 11:13 AM
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      Ten Notes on Credit Risk
      Nice article. No. 9 is the eight hundred pound gorilla!
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    • Sat Aug 16th 10:55 AM
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      Goldman Calls a Bottom in the Dollar
      The dollar will likely strengthen over the next several months. This is a normal retracing in a overall downward trend. The de-leveraging in the credit markets (CDOs, SIVs, etc. ) over the next year will precipitate the failure of many banks and hedge funds. There will be a flight to the "quality" of US Treasuries, creating high demand for the US$.
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    • Sat Aug 16th 10:41 AM
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      Time To Cover Those Housing Shorts
      It is hard to call a bottom in anything these days. I remember the beginning of the credit crisis sell-off a year ago, where anything that was highly liquid was sold off to cover illiquid, over-leveraged positions. Oil stocks went straight down, in the face of rising oil prices.
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    • Sun Jul 27th 16:36 PM
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      European Bank Downgrades To Accelerate - S&P
      Gabe:

      I agree with your assessment. Because of a declining US$, US assets will be so cheap that their prices will surge.
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    • Sun Jul 27th 16:11 PM
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      Debt Ceiling Upped to $10.615tn, Just in Case
      To avoid a 1930s style depression, the government will do everything it can to stimulate the economy. Their approach is to print/spend as much money possible, so that the existing debts will be paid off with "cheaper" dollars. By September, the Japanese and Chinese will not be bidding for treasury bonds, and bond yields will skyrocket. When the US$1.8 buys one Euro, Foreigners will buy up US assets hand over fist.
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