karchad

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    • Wed Jun 4th 06:53 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Consumer Sentiment as a Contrarian Predictor
      This article points out a well-known (or decently known) contrarian indicator, but it bears repeating, especially as CNN repeats it ad infinitum in an attempt to prove that things are heading further downhill (until a Democrat is elected, of course).
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    • Thu May 29th 06:29 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Bank ETFs: Dire Predictions Slam Lenders, Bankers, and Brokers
      My gosh, somebody actually wrote a GOOD article on financials for Seeking Alpha! Hey, guy, with such good analysis, you're liable to ruin all the negativity that I need to make money off the doomsdayers! Cut it out!
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    • Thu May 29th 06:26 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      A Bull Market Correction or End of a Bear Market Rally?
      No wonder investor's returns lag the market. Badly. Articles like this tell us to invest in what's already pricey, and avoid the depressed sectors by all means.... If you're an experienced investor, and a long-term investor, you know to do precisely the opposite.

      Don't worry, in about 3 years, when housing and financials are up over 100%, the articles will only then tell you to invest in housing and financials.
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    • Thu May 29th 06:22 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Thursday Outlook: Commodities, Emerging Markets
      All in all, the market isnt exactly down since, say late January. Pretty long time for the doomsdayers to keep hoping it tumbles again. With all this bad news: oil, banks, housing,"inflatio... the market still doesn't tumble. That tells me more than all this phony technical analysis
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    • Sat May 24th 09:51 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Is Oil a Bubble? Part One
      Hard to believe, that given what we went thru with tech stocks, that there are still people willing to tell me that "it's different with oil, it's going to keep on going up and up and up".... The books are right, there can be a million speculative bubbles, but people will still believe that the million and first is not a bubble.
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    • Thu May 22nd 13:30 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Will Dividend ETFs Be Crushed By An Obama Presidency?
      i think speculation as to Obama's effect on the market is just that: speculation (disclaimer: I'm a Republican).... I think market performance is pretty random concerning Republican/Democrat. It's skewed in favor of Democrats the last 13 years because of the good performance under Clinton, and the bad one under Bush (no judgments here). for those of you who are young, just because the market did well under clinton, and bad under Bush, I would caution you not to gamble your money with rash conclusions. To sum up, i think absolutely NOTHING can be predicted as far as the market is concerned. It's senseless to invest your money based on it.
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    • Thu May 22nd 13:24 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Bank of America: Better Than Treasuries
      I'm suspicious of real high dividends. Without knowing much, it seems to me that a 7%+ dividend is way out of whack for a bank. Just raises red flags for me. As for the "dividend being safe" for a stock, yeah right, I have oceanfront land in Kansas for those who believe any dividend of a bank is "safe", and by the way, i'm bullish on the market, but still, dont throw caution to the wind!...

      I prefer DVY, whose 4% dividend is truly safe because it's an ETF, and the only way the dividend gets cut is due to a price rise!

      Any dividend north of 5% (non-REIT, that is), I'd do some serious due diligence on!
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    • Thu May 22nd 11:28 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      The ETF-Squared: It Reallocates For You
      I agree with Billb, and my own personal experience bears it out, he's exactly right. When i rebalanced too frequently, i was missing too much gain in sharp equity moves up. I do it once a year, February, hoping it's the end of the year end rally (where was it this year???)
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    • Wed May 21st 14:02 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      ETF Overload: How Much of It Will Stick?
      The original idea of ETF's was for us average Joe's to invest in the indices, so we didn't have to mess with options and futures. Also, expenses were low. Now, with all these specialty ETF's, it's like mutual funds, if ya don't know what you're doing, you can lose your shirt. And these specialty ones are charging increasing expense fees.
      I'm going to stick with the tried and true ones that follow the indices.
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    • Sun May 18th 20:57 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Dollar Falls on Lowest Consumer Sentiment in 28 Years
      On the contrary, consumer confidence is a classic contrarian indicator. I love this statistic, and the agreement that goes with it. No wonder the market is rising rapidly from its low... And check out homebuilders ETF's XHB and ITB, year-to-date. Confusing to the doomsdayers? Of course! That's the way it always goes!
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    • Wed May 14th 06:33 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Financials ETF: The Worst May Be Behind Us
      With the financial and housing sectors down so much, if you won't buy now, when exactly will you buy? Wait for them to move up 40%? This article is right on. I'm loading up on distressed sectors. That's how one makes long-term money without guesswork.
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    • Fri May 9th 09:00 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Homebuilder ETF Rises Despite More Bad Housing News
      The ETF had it's plunge already, down to 13. It's a great buy. I'm in since beginning of year at about 17. Long term, you cant beat a sector that's down 70%. Heck, if you're a long-term investor, and you're not buying something like this, exactly when ARE you going to buy??? If you're not buying, you're not a long-term investor, you're a market timer.
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    • Wed May 7th 16:50 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Protect Your Portfolio from the Fraudulent Economy
      Let me say this. Readers, ask yourself this: are you a long-tem investor? If you're a trader, or admitted short-termer, then skip the rest of this post, i have no gripe with you. If youre a long-termer, read on.... Why wouldnt you be buying financials and homebuilders and others after they are down some 70%???? If you're a long-termer, when exactly WILL you be buying? When the news is good? Then you're not a long-termer. When the stocks rise 100%? Then you're not a long-termer. When your friends are also buying these things? Not a long-termer. If you're truly a long-term investor, meaning 5 years or more, you should buy any sector that's down as severely as financials and homebuilders. No, i cant guarantee you will make money in the next week, or even next month (sounds like the theme song to "Friends". But you will profit handsomely in 5 years. Okay, sermon over, this senior is tired of typing.
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    • Wed May 7th 16:46 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Protect Your Portfolio from the Fraudulent Economy
      it's articles like this from amateurs that enabled me to make money in 1988, 1991, 2003, and soon-to-be 2008. Please keep writing them. I need sky-is-falling articles to keep the negative sentiment going. As a long-term investor, it's the only way i can make money. Keep 'em coming!
      Probably the same author will urge you to buy financials after they are up 100%.
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    • Wed May 7th 13:35 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Wednesday Outlook: The Bad News Is the Good News
      I've been in DVY since 11/2003, and have an annualized yield still of just over 10%. Like any other investment, if you buy at the top, you suffer. If you buy decently, you can weather the bad times (and in fact buy more at low points). So his comment on DVY is a bit off.
      View article »
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