Zach Bass

http://www.zacharybass.com
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    • Fri Nov 21st 13:57 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Can You See Apple Under $60?
      @Camden "Zach, this implies the determining factor of a depression is the valuation of the stock market. Is that really what you mean?"

      What I'm saying is that investors peg certain levels in the market, the way we draw lines in the sand. And there are no lines in the sand between 775 and 666. And so long as there's nothing underneath to prop the market up, and uncertainty has pushed volatility and fear to a crescendo, then stock price has nowhere to go other than down.

      As stocks go down, so does wealth. As wealth deteriorates investment ceases and jobs are lost. As jobs are lost, money no longer flows, with no sales, things deflate.
      View article »
    • Thu Oct 23rd 13:11 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Apple Analysis: When Leaders Don't Lead
      It's one thing to challenges one's ideas, it's quite another to make an ad hominem attack without any reference to my analysis. If you want to argue or criticize specific points, then state them. But your criticism is empty.

      Andy Z. is an expert at analyzing company fundamentals. I do no such thing. I provide analysis based strictly on technical analysis. I think fundamentals have their place in longer term valuation, or comparative analysis, but quite frankly fundamentals are of little use for determining the direction of stock price, in all time frames (near, mid and long-term).

      Determining the direction of stock price is what I do. Fundamentals can have some affect on price during certain events, it can also affect to a degree, a stock's level of resilience to market and sector moves. But the thing that determines ALL price direction is investor sentiment.

      And that's what I do. I read investor sentiment and determine the most likely direction a stock will take. So if you don't believe in Technical Analysis or the analysis of Mob behavior, say so. But don't say that my analysis sucks because you don't understand it or that you think TA is a bunch of hooey.
      View article »
    • Thu Oct 23rd 12:27 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Apple Analysis: When Leaders Don't Lead
      I know why it rallied, I talked about it in my blog and podcast from yesterday. Sure you can make the argument that by changing the way they report iPhone revenues was received favorably, but the fact is that fundamentals obviously had little to do with it, otherwise the stock would be up today.

      It was all pure emotion. Investors are looking for any glimmer of hope to hang themselves. Trying to rationalize these itty bitty rallies is foolish. Things turn on a dime, until the volatility retreats, we're going to be stuck in this distortion field.
      View article »
    • Thu Oct 16th 08:21 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      How Low Will Apple Go?
      @awcabot, I've put fundamental and technical analysis on the sideline for now, except from the macro perspective. It's all about investor sentiment right now. The market is riding on pure sweet emotion!
      View article »
    • Wed Oct 15th 08:30 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Apple Fails to Deliver, and the Rally Fizzles
      I was expecting prices 10-20 percent less, and at least one version of the laptop with a 3+ Ghz processor. I think the most analysts were expecting this as well.

      Overall I love the new laptops, and I plan on getting a MacBook Pro all tricked out. But from a market perspective, Apple had a unique opportunity to catch far more market share simply by offering the new notes at a couple hundred dollars less. Also

      By the way, answering @JackSparrow, I did watch the entire presentation, several times. And I don't need to be lectured on my Mac knowledge, I challenge ANYONE that they have more experience than I with Apple and Macintosh. I've been a buyer of Apple products for 30 years and have personally owned nearly 80 Macs. I have 8 in my home right now, and my entire family is iPhone equipped. I have sold macs and Mac based systems, I have developed Mac products both hardware and software, and I have been and still am a major advocate of the Macintosh and the Apple way.

      -zach
      View article »
    • Wed Oct 8th 11:00 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Awaiting Apple Earnings and Guidance
      @Camden, I think that there's reasonable support at 86 and strong support at 74. So what I think will happen is that over the next several days as we get bombarded with poor earnings reports, AAPL will fall into that range and be range bound until earnings. At which time it's anyone's guess what would happen, but I would bet on a gap down, followed by capitulation.

      Of course this is all wild-ass speculation on my part. But it is fun to speculate when you have no skin in the game. I can be far more objective.
      View article »
    • Wed Oct 8th 10:44 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Awaiting Apple Earnings and Guidance
      I wouldn't do it. It would do nothing for the bottom line, i.e. bring in market share. That is THE number one goal for Apple, to increase market share, and use that cash position to its advantage to do so.

      It should be clear by now that Apple management is not concerned one iota of the shareholders near-term needs, because they know in the long term, the choices they make today will benefit them tomorrow.

      Think market share and user-centric design. Apple wants to change the world here, not with investors wallets.
      View article »
    • Tue Oct 7th 13:31 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Apple Investors: The Bottom's Not In - Just Yet
      The reason I threw AAPL in here is that this is a reprint of a post from my blog www.zacharybass.com where I post about investing in Apple, with a strong focus on market and sector analysis. Sometimes my blogs are focused completely on Apple, sometimes focused completely on the market. And always focused on helping the Apple investor out of the Wilderness ;-)
      View article »
    • Mon Oct 6th 14:59 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Cash Position Best for Apple Investor
      @Apple Heavy wrote: All I have to say is that those who take his advice and sell at these levels will likely regret doing so very soon.

      I have been suggesting a cash position since early September. Had you listened, you would not be worrying about the near-term.
      View article »
    • Mon Sep 22nd 23:39 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Has Apple Gone As Low As It Can Go?
      Why is it that my posts attract so much political squabbling? Are there not playgrounds for such things?
      View article »
    • Fri Sep 19th 06:02 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      With Pain, There Is Also Gain
      Yes. If you want to see my latest opinion of our wonderful up day and where I think this government is leading us lemmings, then check out this post on my blog, it's entitled: Born in the USA, Living Under Communism!

      www.zacharybass.com/20...

      This whole nationalism movement we experienced in yesterday's market makes me ill.

      -zach
      View article »
    • Tue Sep 16th 16:03 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Now What for Apple Investors?
      @blueblueherring, yes I meant NOT. I'm sure the meaning got across successfully. But thanks for the pointing out the error. I wish I had time to edit the articles, or perhaps someone to look the posts over. Maybe someday when I enter the nexus and my words influence the markets.
      View article »
    • Tue Sep 16th 14:43 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Now What for Apple Investors?
      Thanks @Constable Odo, you are a voice of reason. I too wish I had the influence over the markets that some attribute to me. I would be a very wealthy man, but alas.

      You live in a dream world @Apple Heavy. If I and everyone else was in an all out effort to sell AAPL stock the net effect would be to push the price up. There are three things that move the price of any stock; market sentiment (that is the level of prevailing fear and uncertainty in the market or sector), news events that directly or indirectly affect company performance, and lastly company fundamentals. These are in order of gravitas, with sentiment having the most gravitas by several orders of magnitude over the other two.

      By the way, if you really want the full Zach Effect, come to my website where I have a blog daily and have a forum where hundreds of others participate and monitor. The blog is iPhone aware.

      Blog: www.zacharybass.com
      Forum: www.zacharybass.com/fo...
      View article »
    • Mon Sep 15th 09:58 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Apple: Leading the Way to a Total Tech Breakdown
      @Toni + So, I'm clueless, eh? Seems I was the ONLY contributor on this site that was calling for this fiasco last week.
      View article »
    • Mon Sep 15th 09:26 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Apple: Leading the Way to a Total Tech Breakdown
      @top_tier HUH?!?! I don't get your complaint!

      I simply call them as I see them. If you can't take the bad news when it stares you in the face, then maybe you should get out of the way and crawl into your own personal carapace.

      And as far as the "beautiful cup and handle," I never saw it confirm, thus it never happened. You can't pretend that patterns exist just because you can see them in your mind. Either they're there with confirmation, or they are not!
      View article »
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