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Maluman
8 Comments
Potash Corp. Earnings Shouldn't Peak Until at Least 2011
The only potash producers listed are POT, IPI, and MOS
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As With Fertilizer Commodities, POT Bubbles
Other side: an ever increasing population in foreign markets that demand more agricultural and meat products. The 'penetration rate' is still low. ie. there is a lot more potential ahead for POT as the population of ppl with disposable income abroad rises everyday.
Secondly, POT is going to hit $1000/tn...it's just a matter of time.
Thirdly, unlike tech or housing, the potash sector is controlled by a small handful of global players. These companies are going to work to keep prices high since they hold a monopoly over potash reserves.
Intrepid Potash IPO: Soaring Shares Signal Fertilizer Bubble?
Potash prices are supposed to go to $1000/tn, showing that China and India are willing to pay higher amounts for their yearly contracts because there is an increasing demand for potash.
Furthermore, with the developing world set to consume an ever increasing amount of food, and with potash supplies carefully controled by the few companies in the world that produce it, the future does definitely look bright. I think the 'hype' around potash is justified to a great extent.
The Global Agricultural Boom: No Bubbles Here
I like agriculture stocks because as you stated, there are positives from both the supply AND demand side- something not always easy to find in a sector.