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27 Comments
How Far Will the US Dollar Rally? [view article]
With the beginning of Falling Euro, I do not think US Dollar will come down in the near future. Dollar will appreciate more and more. Sooner than later European countries, Australia and in New Zealand will gradually they will reduce their interest rate. It is happening in some countries now.On other hand this time, Fed took bold decision by holding rate without any change. I think their main idea is controlling inflation. Sooner than later Fed will increase interest rate as well.
I strongly believe US Dollar will appreciate not only against Pound and Euro but also with baskets of currencies such as AUD, NZD, and YEN with some soft currencies
.
Euro is falling due to Weakness in the European Economy. They have more problems such as falling house prices, credits squeeze, inflation and falling employment etc.
We will see dramatic fall in commodity prices in the next 18 months and because of this American and European industries will have rapid growth especially in companies like Boeing, Airlines, heavy industries, Chicken sector etc.
Their market share for products and services will rise dramatically not only in Europe and The USA but also in newly emerging countries such as China, India, and Brazil etc.
Aug 17 04:35 AM
Which Way for the Prices of Oil and Gold? [view article]
You are right. This is an excellent article. Now it is time to leave the commodity mareket. Very soon inflation will come down. Some companies, sectors and industries will benefit most. Aug 06 04:16 AM3 Investment Ideas for the Rest of 2008 and 2009 [view article]
Good article. US dollar will appreciate other currencies in the next 18 monhts. Fed will increase interest rate sooner than later to contol inflation. Commodity prices will come down rapidly and drastically.As a resluts of this inflation will come down. There will be demand for product and services. Investmet will improve and there will be more job opportunities. Many sectors will recover.Finally we will see recovery in the financil sector and credit market. Aug 03 01:25 AM
Are Airlines Stocks a Contrarian Opportunity? [view article]
Oil correction is happening now. Your are 100% correct. Jul 18 03:25 AMSteel, Coal and Agriculture Plays Turning Over [view article]
Good Article.I think this is the time to sell our commodity stocks and commodities in in agriculture. energy and industrial materials. Jul 05 02:22 AM
Time to Short Both Long-Term Bonds and Crude [view article]
I think we should sell oil stocks and other commodity related stocks now. This is the greatest period to make profit by unloading your existing investment in commodities. We had more than 7 years of bull market for commodity. We are in the final stage of current commodity bull market.All hot commodity indexes including oil index will come down soon.
Very soon we will see collapse in the commodity market similar to property market. We are in the bubble stage now.
Oil prices will come down sooner than later.
This is the time to short all hot sectors such as oil and other hot commodities.
Jun 28 05:43 AM
Is the Oil Index Set to Fall? [view article]
An excellent articleYes definitely all hot commodity indexes including oil index will come down soon.
Very soon we will see collapse in the commodity market similar to property market. We are in the bubble stage now.
Oil prices will come down sooner than later.
This is the time to short all hot sectors such as oil and other hot commodities.
Jun 28 05:32 AM
Three Reasons Boeing Looks Powerful [view article]
An Excellent article.I think this the one stock that we shoud keep in our watch list.
Oil prices will come down sooner than later. Demand for their products will increase in the long run.
Very soon we will see collapse in the commodity market similar to property market. We are in the bubble stage now
Therfore it is better to concentrate on stocks which are going to recover first while leaving hot sectors now. Jun 28 05:27 AM
Can Saudi Arabia Push Down the Price of Oil? [view article]
Yes this time Saudi Arabia will put down oil price.I think Saudi Arabia will increase their oil production very soon. Government in Saudi Arabia also wants solutions to the inflation now. They also fear about collapse of other industrial sectors. They think higher oil prices are not sustainable and it will hit hard their economy as well. In addition I think they have realized their future depend on strong world economy. They know that their investments also going to lose due to present credit crisis in the world.
With slower world growth oil consumption will come down. It is happening all over the world now. People are more careful now some use bicycles and scooters instead of cars now.
Now George Soros see bubble in the oil market
I heard Goldman analysts Arjun Murti has reiterated his view that oil prices could fall to $75/barell once demand come down.
Given above facts we can see strong correction in the oil market soon. I think this is the longest commodity bull market we ever had. Bull markets will not last for ever.
Jun 21 10:42 PM
Week in Review: Dollar's Biggest Advance Vs. Euro in 3 Years [view article]
I think next 12 month US dollar will appreciate against currencies such as NZD, EURO, POUND, YEN and AUD. Fed will increase interest rate as well to control inflation and rising prices of commodities to safeguard industries.Jun 14 04:00 PM
Hayward and Butler Comment on Speculation in Oil Markets [view article]
Now even fund manager and commodity investors like Soros says oil bubble will burst once the economy drag into recession in USA and UK. It is happening now.Everybody such as pension funds, index and ETF funds, banks, investment institutions, speculators and new comers etc into oil and commodity market now. I was so surprised even in third world country person know to talk about barrel of oil, price of grain etc now.
Some intelligent investors see commodity bubble as a major threat to the world growth than credit squeeze and even they expect imminent crash in the commodity market in the near future.
Anything appreciating too fast within short period is not a good sign. There are lot of short term players. In fact some long term players are slowly disposing their holding in the commodity market now. When speculators suddenly try to apply their investment strategies (derivatives and futures trading) in the same day what will happen to the market?
I think this is the best time to leave the commodity including oil market. Can you remember in1980s also they talked about oil peak. We know what happened to it. In addition we can see cyclical collapse in the commodity market as well. Just like other markets commodity market is not going to go up continuously. Therefore anything is possible in the near future.
Jun 14 03:48 PM
1,238 Billion Barrels of Oil Reserves: Is This an Oil Price Bubble? [view article]
Yes oil is in bubble stage now. Only few intelligent people like you know the correct position of the oil market. Thank you for publishing this article and educating people.We do not know much about derivatives, complex instruments involved in the oil futures market. Further we get all types of players in the market now. They play paper trading almost 24 hours per day. On top of that speculators and new players also very active now.
Very soon there will be burst in the commodity market together with oil.
Already people are converting their vehicles to LPG gas, replacing their cars to scooters and bicycles, using pool cars to work and more careful now in managing their fuels through out the world. Airlines are reducing capacity and travel routes. Some factories and plants are finding difficult to run their operations and planning to shut down soon. People are unwilling to pay current price for oil. If that is so will they pay $200 dollar per barrel. No way. If it happens not only there will be total collapse in the oil market but also in other sectors.
In addition Saudi Arabia is going t announce increase of oil production in next meeting.
Even these people have realized higher oil price going to hit them back hard in the long run. US Dollar will go up in next 12 months and even Fed will increase interest rate.
Currently we see rapid rise in some commodities. Similarly there will be rapid decline in these commodities in next 12 months. You can also see volatility in the market. What all these meant for?
So instead of going oil barrel to $200 it will come down below $70 a barrel of oil very soon.
Time to time people bring different theory to mislead people. In 1980s also they talked about peak oil. We know what happened to oil market then.
Still there is no scarcity in oil as such and can produce oil to meet demand.
Jun 13 11:58 PM
Dollar/Krone Relationship A Sign Of Peak Oil? [view article]
Excellent Article.I think we are close to cyclical collapse in the commodity market including oil market in next 12 months.
I think this is the time to make profit in the commodity market. Sharp increase in prices for some commodity recently is a signal for imminent collapse in the commodity market.
r your comment here Jun 13 04:57 AM
Ethanol Producers in Trouble as Corn Sets New Record [view article]
Alternative energy such as Ethanol has beocme speculative now. It is time to leave the grain market now. Jun 07 08:41 PMTwo Ways To Profit from Frontier Markets [view article]
This is a good article.I think there will be great opportunities in frontier markets time to come especially in Asian frontier markets such as Vietnam, Sri-Lanka, Bangladesh, Pakistan, and Indonesia.
Some of these markets trade below P/E rate below 10 now.
In addition frontier markets such as Peru and Uruguay will do well time to come.
May 31 06:18 PM