Ronnen

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Fri Jun 20th 16:29 PM | Rating: 0 0
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Choosing Your Portfolio Risk Tolerance

Excellent & important article. But unless I'm wrong, there seems to be a problem with the numbers: if the 20th percentile corresponds to 20% probability of an average annual return below a certain figure, that figure would be the expected return minus 0.84 times the Standard deviation. That 20% return would peak at P70 and will decrease downwards. Hence, the Failure Age would decrease as well, in contrast with the figures in the article. How come?
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