Seeking Advice

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    • Wed Oct 1st 09:47 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      'Hope and Hold' ETF Portfolios Somewhat Worse for Wear
      I think most of us who joined the buy and hold camp ("hold and hope") in the past few years are having their patience tested. It works best obviously if you have a rather long investment time horizon - at least 10 years. I've seen the wisdom of taking a modified approach over the past 2 years that provides me some flexibility to that strict approach though it has not saved me from losses. I worry about buy-and-holders who are hoping to retire in 5 or 7 years and grinning and 'bearing' it through this shaky economic situation. Many may find they will not have time to recover and will have to significantly alter their plans.
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    • Thu Sep 25th 07:57 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Thursday Outlook: Commodities, Emerging Markets
      There probably will be a rally after something passes, but not necessarily because anyone really thinks it's overall a good idea, but probably just relief that this confusing proposal has been dealt with one way or another. (Treasury admits they made up the $700B out of thin air?). But as has been stated, the lack of transparency about just what the economy is up against and the poor track record of the Federal Government in perceiving the problems and acting effectively is probably going to weigh on the markets. And there is no free lunch. $700B or $1 Trillion, whatever the number ultimately turns out to be, is a whole lot of money and that has to paid for. It will have an effect on the economy and the nation for some time to come. And who exactly is going to provide those dollars we don't currently have?
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    • Tue Sep 23rd 09:07 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Tuesday Outlook: Commodities, Emerging Markets
      "The politicians will want to score points while the average investor and man on the street is flummoxed. "
      Yes, how do individual investors decide on an appropriate course of action in a market that is mostly moved now by unpredictable government intervention instead of economic and market fundamentals?
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    • Thu Aug 28th 08:22 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Thursday Outlook: Commodities, Emerging Markets
      Your comments on the IYT chart are spot on. I'm not a short seller but agree that many of the people who complain that short sellers cheer "bad news" will probably cheer the news that UAL intends to lay off 1500 Flight Attendants. That's a 'positive' cost saving business story, right? Certainly helps to put things in perspective. As Barry Ritholtz (another blogger) often says, "there are two sides to every trade".
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    • Tue Aug 5th 08:10 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Tuesday Outlook: Commodities, Emerging Markets
      David, you disappoint me. I normally enjoy reading your charts and commentary and then I read the line, "Obama and the 'Democrat' leadership". The only people who refer to the 'Democratic' leadership as 'Democrat' leadership are the Right Wing talking heads and some 'fine' members of the Republic (or wait... is it Republican?) leadership when they're trying to be 'cute'. You spoil an otherwise nice review with seemingly unnecessary and unprovoked political commentary. I really prefer that my financial analysis reading be as free from bias as possible so that I feel that I can accept it at face value. I read political blogs for political opinions. I read financial/economic blogs for financial/economic enlightenment. Disappointing to see this crop up on your article.
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